Monday, May 23, 2011

Consumers are getting squeezed and "forced savings" will not save the young buyers

From the Globe and Mail  " Rising Food, Fuel Prices Squeeze Consumers
Consumers are shifting their spending as higher gasoline and food prices strain family budgets, leaving less money for discretionary items such as trips and clothes.
Households will face even tougher spending choices in the months ahead as an expected hike in interest rates takes yet another bite out of their finances.
With Canadians already grappling with record household debt, higher energy and food prices are expected to curb spending in some areas, as well as reduce overall economic growth since consumer spending accounts for 60 per cent of the economy. 
And many consumers can also look forward to higher than average monthly housing costs, even with ultra low interest rates.
But everything is fine as " Home equity considered forced savings for young people"

“Buying a home can really be considered somewhat of a forced saving plan with a portion of each mortgage payment you make going towards principal and that builds equity in the property and increases your net worth,” says Campbell. “Over time with the equity building, when it comes time to eventually sell the property, you’ve actually got money in your pocket from the purchase. When you rent, all the money you pay goes to the landlord and you end up deriving zero benefit from this.”
If home equity is the only savings young people can do, we are in trouble as the average debt a University grad has is over $30,000.  A correction in the housing market would wipe up many young persons " forced savings". To say that renting from a landlord is zero benefit is bunk as we need a place to live. But I do agree that a home can be considered somewhat a forced savings plan.  With that comment I leave it with Irvine:

From Irvine Housing Blog " The US needs a home equity lock box owners can not raid"
The advantage of owning a home was the amortizing mortgage was a forced savings account, and inflation provided some additional return. Once we gave unfettered access to home equity, these features of home ownership no longer applied. As many Ponzis have proven, even after more than 20 years of ownership, a loan owner can lose their home to foreclosure.
 That's were the lockbox comes in. If a house is supposed to represent financial security, it should be a place of money storage, not an endless ATM machine spitting out spending money.
Don't think Canadians have borrowed beyond their means? Canada is now near 150% of debt to income.  More than those reckless Americans.



3 comments:

  1. I agree to this most of the people that I know giving a reason and excuse that it is still more logical to buy a house (with a mortgage) as it builds equity, but most of them have no concrete basis or real number ideas on how much real asset they accumulate comparing to renting. One of the excuses that one of my closest friend told me is that it is urgently needed to buy a house right now because the real estate agent told him that the prices will go up higher and the qualifying rate will get tougher in able for your to buy a home for a 5% down payment.

    I emailed one of the calculators that I found on this blog to my friend using my email lists and some of them are quite offended that I should not discourage them to achieved their dream of owning a house. My gosh this is crazy that people don't take time before they enter into something really big that can affect their future in terms of financial security. In my own belief considering the current situation right now I don't think the housing prices might still go up but it will have a terrible consequences later as I started to feel sorry for young families with marginal income getting sucked in in this vicious cycle of low interest rate and big debts.

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  2. The current situation is almost like a form of brainwashing for some people. No matter what evidence is shown to them, they will believe what they want to believe.

    I am not saying that buying is bad for everybody, but the numbers are saying for a majority of first time buyers, the time to buy is not now.

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  3. I'm not a first time buyer( bought & sold two homes) but i will not buy in this market as i'm close to 50 and would still need to take a loan to purchase and i have no other debt.Homes are way to over priced & rates have no where to go but up.I don't understand why so many people are buying.I know rents are high but at least you won't go bankrupt or be foreclosed on.I wait & save.

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